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BNP Paribas looks forward to 2025: The Federal Reserve is expected to stay put for the whole year, and the US yield will rise. The 2025 outlook report released by BNP Paribas on Thursday shows that the yield of US Treasury bonds is expected to rise, and under the strong dollar, it will reach parity against the euro. The bank predicts that with the entry into force of the tariff measures proposed by the incoming Trump administration, the US inflation rate will start to pick up from the middle of next year, prompting the Fed to remain inactive throughout 2025. Calvin Tse, the bank's head of macro strategy for the Americas, said that customers are advised to continue to allocate low US Treasury bonds next year, because they expect that inflation will accelerate from mid-2025 after the soft landing of the economy, and the yield of 10-year Treasury bonds will be 4.65% at the end of the year. Tse also said that inflation is expected to be higher and the Fed is more hawkish next year.Canada is considering imposing tariffs on key resources exported by the United States, calling this a "last resort". It is reported that Canada is currently studying the imposition of export taxes on its main commodities exported to the United States, including uranium, oil and potash fertilizer. According to officials familiar with the internal discussions in the Canadian government, export tariffs will be Canada's last resort (if US President-elect Trump fulfills his promise to impose extensive tariffs). Retaliatory tariffs on American-made goods and export controls on some Canadian products will be more likely to be introduced first. But these officials said that if Trump decides to launch a full-scale trade war, Canada's export tax on goods is a practical choice. The Trudeau government may also propose to expand the power of export control.Bitcoin fell below $100,000/piece, down 1.15% in the day.

New york Fed: Michelle Neal, head of the marketing department, resigned from the bank and will leave on March 25th, 2025.White House: Biden's approval of an aid program to Ukraine will provide more air defense systems, etc. On December 12, local time, John Kirby, strategic communication coordinator of the US White House National Security Council, said at the White House briefing that day that US President Biden approved a new Ukrainian security assistance program on the 12 th, which will provide Ukraine with more air defense systems, artillery, drones and armored vehicles. Kirby said that this is the 72nd such material deployment assistance announced by the United States, and the United States will continue to provide additional aid packages until the end of the current government.Dong Ximiao, chief researcher of Zhaolian and part-time researcher of Finance Research Institute of Fudan University, said: "Let policy adjustment go ahead of the market curve", and moderately loose monetary policy will intensify countercyclical adjustment. The Central Economic Work Conference determined that the tone of monetary policy in 2025 was "moderately loose", which was not only based on the analysis of the current economic situation, but also fully considered external uncertainties, and combined with the planning of economic work next year.

Dutch Ministry of Defence: All F-16 fighters have been transferred to Romania. On the 12th local time, the Dutch Ministry of Defence announced that the Royal Dutch Air Force has completed the upgrade from F-16 fighters to more advanced F-35 fighters. In order to make full use of the retired F-16 fighters, the Dutch government has signed an intention agreement to transfer these fighters to Romania. This will enable Romania to train a new generation of pilots, including Ukrainian pilots. On November 7, last year, the Netherlands sent the first batch of F-16 fighters to the European F-16 fighter training center in Romania for training Ukrainian pilots. In September this year, Romanian Defense Ministry spokesman Spinu said that the first batch of Ukrainian fighter pilots arrived in Romania at the beginning of this month and began to receive theoretical training for F-16 fighters. Practical training may begin before the end of this year.Stenn Technologies, a financial technology loan company, has collapsed and most of its employees will lose their jobs. In early December, HSBC Holdings pushed the troubled trade finance company into bankruptcy.Texas will generate about 150 GW of electricity annually by 2003.